Research
As part of our focus on providing a high quality, personalised investment service, we look to support our investment managers in their decision making when it comes to constructing client portfolios. Our asset allocation committee is one example of this, via their monthly output.
The Asset Allocation Committee, which consists of three members of our research team and a number of investment managers, aims to provide a view on the asset allocation that seems most suitable in current macro conditions. The output of the monthly meetings remains a suggested stance and it is important to note, that the views expressed are not those of the firm but rather those of the committee and that the views expressed may not necessarily be those of your individual investment manager.
Here we present a snapshot of the current views.
Fixed Income
UK Government Bonds - Conventional gilts |
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Inflation as a threat has re-emerged whilst expectations for rate rises are moderating. |
UK Corporate Bonds |
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Investment grade bonds with the shortest maturities are preferred, within the constraints of income requirements. |
UK Government Bonds - Index linked gilts |
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The re-emergence of inflation is supportive but beware higher coupon issues. |
UK Equities
Materials |
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Supply and demand dynamics are improving within a favourable macroeconomic environment.
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Consumer Staples |
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We like the sector for its defensive qualities and recent weakness offers some buying opportunities. |
Consumer Discretionary |
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The market has been polarised by disruptive technology so stock selection is critical. |
Financials – ex Banks, Insurance & Property |
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This is a mixed bag of a sector. Caution to be taken on asset managers which are often a geared play on the underlying assets. |
Financials – Banks |
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The sector should benefit from rising interest rates.
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Financials – Life Insurance |
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Supportive demographics could provide opportunities here. |
Real Estate |
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Some discounts in the UK are at historically wide levels. Be wary of effect of rising interest rates on asset values. |
Health Care |
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Benefits from the tailwind of global demographics and the sector’s defensive qualities, however, it is important to distinguish between pharmaceuticals, healthcare and biotechnology. |
Industrials |
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Some excellent opportunities in the UK at this favourable time in the cycle. |
Energy |
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Supply and demand balanced by current geopolitical outlook. |
Information technology |
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Prefer funds and international blue chips for exposure to specific tech themes. The long term attractions of the sector are clear. |
Telecommunications |
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Sector looks attractive on yield and valuation grounds, whilst capital expenditure and competition remain an issue. |
Utilities |
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We don’t like this sector for its high gearing and exposure to political risks. |
Alternatives
Absolute Return |
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Exposure might be appropriate given current market conditions. We suggest caution on the “yield hunt” and are wary of lower quality products. |
Infrastructure |
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Investors should be cautious when looking for yield and pay close scrutiny to the quality of the investment product and premiums to NAV. |